Archive for December, 2009

Carlos Tevez is Very Good, Robinho is Unbelievably Bad

// December 27th, 2009 // 2 Comments » // Uncategorized

Very interesting debut for Roberto Manciti today.  First, he continued the tradition than he began an Inter Milan of wearing a team scarf, tied with the perfect knot.  (I mean, really — if managing doesn’t work out he definitely has a career as a professional scarf instructor.)

Stick with me and youll be tying scarves like a champion

"Stick with me and you'll be tying scarves like a champion"

Manciti correctly removed the unplayable Micah Richards from the starting lineup for Pablo Zabaleta, as well as the approaching-unplayable Wayne Bridge for Silvinho, but also left out both Craig Bellamy and Sean Wright-Phillips.  Playing Martin Petrov (a lefty) on the right for Wright-Phillips was a great idea — with Carlos Tevez as the center forward (Adebayor and Santa Cruz were out), you aren’t going to be sending in crosses for headers, so you might as well have someone naturally inclined to cut in from the wing.  Carlos Tevez was wonderful in the false center-forward role — he was involved in every attacking move. 

But Robinho in for Bellamy?  A bit of a head-scratcher.  Admittedly, Mancini did announce he was saving Bellamy for Monday’s (only slightly) tougher game away to Wolves.  You could also see him wanting to make an attempt to reclaimm Robinho, worrying that if he left the Brazilian on the bench in his first game, he might lose him forever.

Well, it appears that argument is moot — Robinho may be long gone already.  I only saw about half of the game yesterday, but he was awful.  I mean, it was almost comical how many bad touches he had — crosses, corners, shots, etc.  Even on the first goal, he is clearly attampting a shot and just shanks it dreadfully (luckily for Citeh, right into the path of Petrov).  And in the lead-up to the second goal he takes two corners, neither of which clear the first defender — just atrocious.

My question is this:  was he playing badly on purpose?  Has he thrown in the towel and is he hoping for a winter transfer?  Perhaps it’s subconscious?  Regardless, the last time I have seen someone play this surprisingly bad was… Ronaldinho.  Not today’s Ronaldinho, who we have all passively accepted is a bad player to the extent that when he makes a decent free kick or pass we all declare that he’s had a great game.  No, I’m referring to the last-year-at-Barcelona Ronaldinho, when he turned in performance after bafflingly bad performance. 

It’s hard to see how Mancini will be able to justify playing Robinho again.  It’s even harder to imagine how this is good for Robinho — you would think he wants to look good for potential suitors and, oh by the way, the World Cup is approaching.  Nobody likes a guy who turns it on and then turns it off and then maybe turns it on again.  (Except for Didier Drogba.)

Posted by Lazar

Bradlingtons Gunners to Be Visited By This Man

// December 22nd, 2009 // 4 Comments » // Uncategorized

Santa Cass

Santa Cass? Lazar is bad at photoshop.

Father Cass-mas is on his way!  It was a dogfight in the end, but Bradlingtons Gunners, managed by Kevin Bradshaw, have taken the title of year-end champions in the NMOB! Premiership Fantasy League.  Good onya, Kevin — Santa Cass will be visiting your house shortly.  (Please email us your snail mail address.)  A hat-tip to ManUTangClan owner Richard Koss (also known here as Er Pupone) for narrowly missing (by just seven little points) the chance to win the wonderful Puma beach soccer ball.

To all those toiling in midtable obscurity, fear not!  The rest of the contests to be awarded this year will be for performace over a certain period of time, so keep making those changes!  As always, it’s time to get Darren Fletcher out of your lineup!

Merry Christmas, Happy Hannukah, Kwanzaa, bizarre pagan ritual, and whatever you people subscribe to!  And for those non-believers, good for you for not succumbing to the corporate nightmare that is the holiday season — enjoy not wasting your money on stuff people don’t really want, anyway!

Posted by Lazar

Welcome, Roberto Manciti!

// December 20th, 2009 // 10 Comments » // Uncategorized

Can you see what I did there? Mancini -> Manciti. Clever eh?

Anyway, I’ve been pretty shocked by the ‘outrage’ displayed by a lot of city fans, players and pundits over the sacking of Hughes. Okay I’ve only been surprised by the outrage from the fans. I’ve never ever heard a manager agreeing that sacking another manager was the right thing to do. There’s obviously a lot of self interest involved in pretending that managers should always be given more time, that they’ll always turn it around, that it’s not their fault their team is playing like a piece of sh1t and that it’s absolutely ridiculous to sack a manager.

As for pundits, I’ve never heard them agree that it’s the right thing to sack a manager either. Maybe they’re all secretly worried that the now sacked incompetent manager will try to compete with them for a job boring the public to death with uneducated and ignorant platitudes on the various tv and radio statious they work for. Hey pundits, try doing like 20 minutes research before you call a game, and try explaining why something happened or is happening rather than telling us exactly what we are seeing but without adding any information on what that means or why it’s happening.

As for the players (a delegation of Man City players marched to the boardroom to demand Hughes be kept on as manager), only in very rare cases do you hear of a player celebrating a manager being sacked. Players are pretty fickle and don’t like their comfort zones being changed. Maybe the new manager will make them train harder, or get more angry if they lose, or pick somebody else to play instead of them. If they really cared that much about Mark Hughes not losing his job, they could have actually tried turning up and making some effort against Spurs in midweek. Within a month they’ll have forgotten all about Hughes and be talking up their undivided loyalty to Roberto Manciti (see, it’s catching on).

Which brings me to the fans reaction. Most of these fans were calling for Hughes to go. Part of the lack of love for Hughes was his Man Utd background, part of it was his lack of previous sucess, but Hughes at Man City was never a perfect marriage or even a slightly dysfunctional ‘lets stay together for the sake of the children’ partnership. This season is perhaps City’s best ever chance to break into the top four. They have no Europa cup football to distract, they managed to buy a lot of great players and the big four is as weak as it’s ever been. Surely the ‘perfect’ fool Benitez cannot be allowed to keep destroying Liverpool for too much longer. Apart from the odd high profile victory, Hughes had done little to suggest he was the man to bring city back into the big time. The fans had routinely questioned his ability to handle big names, his ability to motivate for the ‘bread and butter’ games of the premiership and his ability to give the young players (such as Weiss) a chance. All those fans who are now so outraged by the manner of Hughes exit are just idiots being swayed by the media pundits and ex-managers. Stability is all well and good but only if it’s the right guy. Stability with the wrong guy is worthless and Hughes had done very little to make one think he was the right guy. As for the manner of the sacking and appointment of Manciti, I thought it was done excellently. Normally the manager is sacked, then there’s endless speculation about the new manager, maybe a caretaker is appointed and it’s all generally very distracting. Or, rumours leak about the new manager before the old manager is sacked, causing just as much distraction. Instead, we had a non-leaked clinical sacking and new appointment which caused as little destabilisation as possible. For all the abuse Gary Cook etc get, I think they got this one right.

Welcome Roberto Manciti!

posted by Cass

Steven Gerrard-nomics

// December 17th, 2009 // 11 Comments » // Uncategorized

Here at NMOB! we are not afraid to ask the tough questions and to challenge the conventional wisdom.  One of those questions that we ask ourselves a lot is whether Steven Gerrard is anywhere near as good as everyone says he is.   Conventional wisdom has it that he is a superhero. 

As I watched Liverpool’s big game against Arsenal last Sunday, I could not help thinking how bad he was: he really did not have much positive influence on the game, and he seemed to lose the ball a lot.  But let’s look at the stats. 

 

Above is an illustration of Stevie G’s passing against Arsenal.   He attempted 30 passes, of which only 17 were successful — that’s 56%, which is not very good.  For comparison,  let’s look at the much-maligned Lucas Leiva, who completed 32 of 35 passes — a lot better.  But you might argue that Lucas plays a more withdrawn position, and makes simpler passes.  Okay, let’s compare Gerrard to Yossi Benayoun, who often subs for Gerrard when the great man is injured, and who also played an attacking midfielder/winger role.  He attempted fewer passes (17) and but completed a much higher percentage of them (14, for 82%). 

But that’s apples to oranges, right?  Any two players on the same team will have different roles.  Okay, well let’s compare Gerrard to more attacking, central players on other teams.  Well, on the other side of the ball, Cesc Fabregas was 47 for 63, or  – woah!  Not only did he attempt more than double the passes, but he completed 74% of them.

Well, what about other stuff?  Well, let’s see: Gerrard attempted 14 tackles, of which only five were successful — a truly terrible rate.  (Lucas Leiva, made 7 successful tackles in 9 attempts.)  Just an atrocious game for Gerrard.

But Arsenal are a great team, you might say.  It’s unfair to analyze him solely in a game of such a high level.  Fair enough.  Let’s look at the week before against lowly Blackburn.  36 passes, 21 successful — yikes!  Still not very good — even when Liverpool win.  Well, maybe it was an ugly game.   Let’s compare him to some Blackburn midfielders.  Well, Brett Emerton made 28 passes, 23 of which were successful.  And Vicent Grella was 24 for 25.  This is not looking good for Gerrard.  How about the Liverpool derby a three weeks ago?  Much better for Stevie: 24 passes, 20 successful.  As for Everton’s attacking midfielder, Maroune Fellaini: 32 of 35.   Hmmn… so, who exactly is Steven Gerrard better than?

Well, at least we can all agree that Gerrard doesn’t dive.  Or maybe we can disagree about that, too…

Posted by Lazar

What to Win

// December 10th, 2009 // No Comments » // Uncategorized

If you thought that we had forgotten about the vigorous battle happening in the NMOB!  Premiership fantasy league, you were wrong.  No, this year Cass gets to dress up as Santa Claus and Lazar as some sort of fictional Chanukah creature for one lucky reader.  Actually, luck has little do with it; rather, fantasy soccer mastery is what gets the goods.  We are going to give the top name on NMOB! Premiership fantasy leaderboard an official Puma Beach Soccerball, thanks to our good friends at Soccerpro, makers of all kinds of soccer shirts and soccer shorts.   (I have the ball in my possession, and it’s very cool.  In case you were wondering, it also makes for an easy prize because it’s one-size-fits-all.)

 Here’s a quick review of the current top 12.  (Please note that this includes me and my girlfriend, and that Cass is nowhere to be found.  I also hereby renounce my rights to win the prize.)

1 Bradlingtons Gunners Kevin Bradshaw 66 873
2 ManUTangClan Richard Koss 69 866
3 Twinkletoes FC Lazar Treschan 46 820
4 Los Rojillos Neil Dewhurst 47 816
5 A Little Rusty Adrian Russell 47 815
6 FC Scumfree Emmet Dunne 41 813
6 Sleepy Box Bandits Paul O’Loughlin 68 813
8 Tritón FC Alex Laverty 59 806
9 Believe the Tripe Charlie McGowan 61 805
10 A Few Good Men Karl Gohery 33 800
11 grey lynn reds joachim hackshaw 48 794
12 Reggae Boyz Courtney (Lazar’s g-friend) 63 786

 

To ensure that we can get it there by or near Xmas/Chanukah, whomever is leading the by December 21 wins the ball.  In other words, it’s time to get Darren Fletcher out of your team!

Posted by Lazar

The Real Dream Team

// December 8th, 2009 // 13 Comments » // Uncategorized

As the World Cup approaches – although it is still over six months away, for goodness sake – excitement will build here in the US about our chances of doing well.  Much of this is due to the fact that the US got an EASY (England, Algeria, Slovenia, plus us Yanks – thanks to john@york for that one) group for the tournament’s initial stage. 

(Side note: I wish it were possible to find out how many Americans will learn anything about Slovenia or Algeria.  I mean, really, what percentage of Americans know that there is a country called Slovenia?  It’s got to be under 20 percent.  And if just a few people end up seeing the truly incredible film about the Algerian resistance, The Battle of Algiers, soccer will have again played an important role in making the world a little smaller.  Trust me about this movie – it’s more action-packed, suspenseful, and moving than anything you’ve seen in years.  AND, Ennio Morricone did the score.)

Where was I?  Oh, right, excitement will begin to swell.  ESPN and ABC will flood the airwaves with commercials and promos for the World Cup, and people will start to think that the US has a chance of doing well.  A few new-to-the-party no-nothings, god bless them, may even think the US has a chance of winning.  Of course, we don’t.  Pretty much every other country in the World Cup has its best athletes playing soccer from right out of the womb.  Our best athletes are in American football and basketball, with a few others in baseball.  But what if they all went into soccer?  We have a country of 280 million and an incredible sports-industrial complex.  As I fell asleep last night, I started to think about a new type of USA Dream Team, one that had all of our best professional athletes playing the sport of kings.   I mean, really: we would absolutely crush the competition.  Here’s a possible squad list:

Goalkeeper – the attributes we are looking for are height, reflexes, quickness, and bravery.

Goalkeeper: check!

Goalkeeper: check!

Starter = Dwight Howard .  People will stop talking about how paradoxically agile Gigi Buffon and Edwin Van der Saar are when we stick Superman between the posts.  How about a seven-footer with enormous hands, freakish leaping ability, and the world’s most sculpted shoulders?  Nice.  Runner-up: Michael Phelps.

Right-back – the attributes we are looking for are speed, defensive prowess combined with a willingness to come forward and attack.

Starter = Torii Hunter.  The centerfielder for the LA Angels will be perfect.  He makes his name as a glamorous defensive player who glides across the field, but isn’t afraid to crash into things.  Plus he hits in the middle of the order and is an offensive force.

Center-back #1: Beckenbauer “Kaiser” role – for this crucial position, the attributes we are looking for are an odd combination of size, strength, toughness, speed, and an uncanny ability to see the entire pitch and serve as Field Marshall.   You want a player who can intimidate opponents with his size, but have the grace to come forward and start the attack.

LeBron: Our national treasure

LeBron: Our national treasure

Starter = LeBron James.  I knew this would be a fun exercise.  I mean, jeez, people go nuts when they see a big center back like Sol Campbell take a few dribbles up the field – imagine when Bron-bron, all 6’ 9” and 250 pounds of him, silkily and smoothly races up the field spraying the long passes that you did not know were possible?  And imagine The King coming into the opponents’ box on a corner kick?  I pity the poor unlucky bastard that would have to cover him.

Center-back #2: Enforcer role – here you just want a pure intimidator who can knock the stuffing out of a big opposing forward in a healthy, legal shoulder-to-shoulder challenge.

Starter = Ray Lewis.  Oh my god.  What is Lewis, like 6’ 4”, 260, with the speed and aggression of a lion?  People say John Terry and Nemanja Vidic are imposing to play against.  Ray Lewis will send opponents into early retirement.  You know what Ray Lewis would call Jermain Defoe?  Lunch.

Dangerous on the field and in the strip club

Dangerous on the field and in the strip club

Left-back – we are looking for a southpaw who can combine defensive grace and agility with an ability to come forward and launch longballs in from the left.

Starter = Chase Utley.  The lefty second-basemen for the Phillies combines both defense and offense.  And his slick-backed hairdo already makes him look like an Eastern European soccer star of the Dimitar Berbatov variety.  This is getting too easy!

Defensive midfielder: destroyer role – here we want a guy who is going to put himself in the pocket of the other team’s best player and completely neutralize him.  He’s got to be very strong but able to run all game.

Starter = Ron Artest.  The super-religious Kaka will have trouble NOT taking the Lord’s name in vain after we stick Artest on him for 90 minutes.  I’m starting to feel bad for Kaka.  Artest also fills the role of resident crazy person on the team – always good to have onne of those so the media has something to talk about.

A cigarette and hes Dima Berbatov

A cigarette and he's Dima Berbatov

Left-winger – we are looking for a lefty with speed and the skills to either go on a long run with the ball, or send in a nice cross.  Given the soccer commentator’s favorite cliché about players at this position (“he has a cultured left foot”), we will try to accomodate the “cultured” attribute by finding someone who has gone to a museum at least once in his life.

 Starter = Grant Hill.  He’s a lefty and I think he’s the only American athlete who has been to a museum, or at least thought about going to a museum once.  Maybe.

Right-winger – desired attributes are an ability to run at great speed and pull off a series of dizzying, dazzling moves before either racing into the box or swinging in a venomous pass.

Starter = Allen Iverson.  This is too easy!  The Answer is pound for pound the greatest athlete I have ever seen, and he is a born winger.  You think Aaron Lennon and Sean Wright Phillips are tricky and fast?  I can’t wait for the world to see Iverson unveil the killer crossover with his feet.  Remember, he’s the guy who broke Michael Jordan in their first ever one-on-one.  I would die to see him make a run at Ashley fricking Cole.

Attacking central midfielder: number 10 role – this is the guy around who the US attack with be based.  We want a brilliant body and a brilliant mind – a leader by word and example.  Someone with a hard shot and a soft touch.

Starter = Dwayne Wade.  No one really rivals Flash in terms of leadership ability.  And those countless drives to the hoop against all odds are not un-Maradona-esque.  Runners-up: Chris Paul and Steve Nash, if he weren’t Canadian.  Or Derek Jeter about seven years ago.

Striker #1: Little guy – here we want a forward with an uncanny ability to get the ball in the tightest of spaces and somehow break free and find the net.  And while he’s got to be incredibly fast and freakishly coordinated, he’s got to be strong enough to fend off opposing center backs.

Starter = Michael Vick.  Okay, I know he probably got a bit rusty after serving time, but he can finish paying his debt to society by helping us win the World Cup.  Other than soccer’s Ronaldo (the original, fat one) with Barcelona and Inter in 1996-1998, I have never seen anyone who creates more excitement with his first few steps than when Vick decides to run with the ball.  When he decides to attack, everyone watching leans forward.  And if you think Leo Messi can turn on a dime, you’ll love Mike Vick. 

Striker #2: Target man – desired attributes are height and jumping ability, combined with speed and intense bravery to put himself in the middle of big centerbacks’ bodies and an opposing goalkeeper’s fists.  You also really want a player with a strong streak of overconfidence, who truly believes that he can score any time he gets near the ball.  It’s the one position where a little selfishness is a good thing.

My favorite TO celebration

My favorite TO celebration

Starter = Terrell Owens.

Owens is like 6′ 6″, incredibly fast, and one of the strongest people on earth.  He also has more self-confidence than is probably healthy, and will never blow a chance to score because the moment is too big for him.  Basically, he’s like Fernando Torres, but even bigger, faster, and more coordinated.  And his goal celebrations would be INSANE!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Is there any chance that this real USA Dream Team, had they grown up playing soccer, wouldn’t win every tournament ever?  Alas, this group of guys will only ever play on my own personal field of dreams.

Posted by Lazar

Worth a Thousand Words

// December 5th, 2009 // 6 Comments » // Uncategorized

Becks’ reaction upon the USA getting drawn into England’s group:
Not part of his grand plan

Not part of his grand plan

Almost too good to be true…

Posted by Lazar

Math Homework – Probabilities

// December 3rd, 2009 // 13 Comments » // Uncategorized

So, while Cass is teaching geography/political economy lessons that are very, very interesting, I’ve been stuck at my desk doing math projects.  I’m trying to figure out the odds of my two teams, Uruguay and the USA, getting a decent group.  My analysis tells me that while Uruguay has a great chance for an easy group, the USA is completely screwed.  You can tell me if I’m wrong.

First, let’s review the seeding/pots:

Let’s start with Uruguay.  In Pot 1, they cannot get regional rivals Brazil or Argentina, which is great.  But it’s not a straight lottery of the final six teams.  South Africa cannot get into a group with any of the African teams from Pot 3, meaning that it will only get Uruguay, Paraguay, or Chile.  So, Uruguay has a 33% chance of getting South Africa, and then 13% chances of the seeded European teams — could be worse!  Then they can get anyone in Pot 2, which is all minnows except for the US and Mexico, which means a 75% chance of a really easy team, and a 25% chance of the US or Mexico, who are about the same or slightly worse than Uruguay.  Being in Pot 3, Uruguay cannot face one of the good African or CONMBOL teams — hooray!  Finally, they’ll get one of the pretty good Euro teams in Pot 4, the only real worries being Portugal and Denmark (historically, Uruguay’s bogey team).  Not bad at all.

The USA, however, is completely screwed.   They have the best chance of being in the inevitable Group of Death, precisely because they and Mexico are the only decent teams in the minnow pot (Pot 2). As such, any group they are in will be free of minnows, unless Algeria, from Pot 3, is in the group, of which there is only a 1/8th probability. If you are optimistic, you might think that the US should get by Slovenia or Slovakia. Since there is a 25% chance (2/8) of one of them being in the group, if you add that with the chance of Algeria (12.5%) being in the US group, there is a 37.5% chance that the US is in a group with at least one team it should beat, which still means that there is a 63% chance that there will be no teams that the US can reasonably expect to beat.

But remember, you usually need to win at least one game, and win or tie another game to get to the second round.  So, what are the odds that there are two teams that the US can reasonably expect to beat? Well, that’s 25% * 12.5% = 3%.  Three fricking percent that the US will have a better than average possibility of going through!  The US is screwed.  It sucks.

How’s my math?  Can you do better?

Posted by Lazar

Homework

// December 3rd, 2009 // 13 Comments » // Uncategorized

No team from any of the 7 largest metropolises (metropolitan areas?) in Europe have ever won the Champions League / European Cup.

Discuss.

 (Bonus points if you can name the seven metropolisesseses.)

posted by Cass

Become a Fan of… Uruguay!

// December 2nd, 2009 // 7 Comments » // Uncategorized

Look, I’m sure that everyone who reads this blog has firmly-established rooting interests in one team for the World Cup.   (Sorry about the use of the rhetorical device “Look…” to start this post, but if it works for overblown NY Times columnist Thomas Friedman, then it can work for me.)  Odds are that you are American, and you’re going to root for the USA.  Or you’re English and you’re looking forward to supporting England.  Or your Irish and, well, okay, forget about that…  But regardless of whether your team is going to the Big Dance or not, it’s always fun to also support a plucky, unfancied side in the World’s greatest tournament.  Everyone with half a heart had a soft spot for Cameroon in ’90, Bulgaria in ’94 (especially after they beat Germany), Senegal in ’02, et cetera.

Soy celeste, soy celeste...

Soy celeste, soy celeste...

Well, here is your chance to get in on the ground floor of another team that is totally and completely defined by immeasurably high levels of pluck and unfancy-ness: Uruguay.  The Guardian (UK) has picked me to be their fan correspondent for the World Cup, representing Uruguay.  My father and stepmother are from there and currently live there.  It’s my team.  I also root for the US, although they are solidly in second place for my affections.

 Cass has given me permission to make NMOB! the completely unofficial source for Uruguay’s return to dominance of world football (you’ll remember that we won the 1930 and 1950 World Cups, and various Olympic gold medals before the World Cup was established.)  This is not to say that we won’t continue with coverage of club leagues, other national teams, and everything else, so don’t worry your shinpads off.  We’ll also be making use of NMOB!s official Uruguay-based correspondent (my dad) for analysis and news from inside the country itself.

I’m still not exactly sure of what this entails, but I do know that I’ll be providing them content (via Twitter tweets and NMOB! links) about Uruguay’s path to winning the World Cup.   Hey, if we can eke out a tense draw with Costa Rica at home in our most important game in four years, then we can definitely win the World Cup!   My activities begin this Friday with the World Cup draw, when I’ll be tweeting via the NMOB! twitter feed to the Guardian’s minute-by-minute coverage of the draw. 

So, feel free to join in the fun and root for Uruguay.   Or you can bemusedly follow and enjoy our Uruguay coverage without actually supporting the team, which is fine, too.  Or you can weigh in with thoughts about how your team is doing — whatever!  Above all, I promise to try to use my writing about the Uruguayan national team (also known as “La Celeste”, meaning the “light blue”), as a way to draw out greater truths about sport and society.  Apparently, that’s what “real writing” is all about!

Posted by Lazar